Confessor
CCF Mod Squad
Not Bucky O'Hare!
Posts: 10,202 
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Post by Confessor on Nov 8, 2016 7:25:32 GMT -5
So, when will you actually know who's won? If all goes smoothly, we should know the result, based on a combination of exit polls and actual results, by 12am EST (so, about 5am GMT). However, it should be pretty clear which way this thing is gonna go before that...say, by the early hours of Wednesday morning, UK time. |
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Post by wildfire2099 on Nov 8, 2016 7:33:27 GMT -5
Wow, Jez, awesome idea! I'm going to go with the Fox prediction and say 215 edit: Bolded my guess in case thats a thing  |
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Post by wildfire2099 on Nov 8, 2016 7:35:15 GMT -5
So, when will you actually know who's won? It depends how it goes. They don't release any results until all the polls are closed, so that people don't see their candidate doing poorly and not show up (I think that started with Reagan-Mondale).. so I'd expect around 11 PM- 12 AM EST if all goes smoothly |
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Confessor
CCF Mod Squad
Not Bucky O'Hare!
Posts: 10,202
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Post by Confessor on Nov 8, 2016 7:50:00 GMT -5
They don't release any results until all the polls are closed, so that people don't see their candidate doing poorly and not show up (I think that started with Reagan-Mondale).. so I'd expect around 11 PM- 12 AM EST if all goes smoothly I didn't know that. I thought we got to see each state release it's results in real time on the TV coverage. Don't some pundits try to call it, hours before the official result? How is that possible if poll results are secret until 12am EST (after Alaska's polls close)? |
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Post by Pharozonk on Nov 8, 2016 8:16:26 GMT -5
I'm going with 207.
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Post by hondobrode on Nov 8, 2016 13:13:11 GMT -5
I forgot Maine and Nebraska are split. For sure 1 district in Nebraska (the non-Omaha rest of the state) will go Trump. Modifying my vote to 207 (or, I'm looking at Pharozonk's paper...) |
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Post by Ish Kabbible on Nov 8, 2016 13:45:40 GMT -5
They don't release any results until all the polls are closed, so that people don't see their candidate doing poorly and not show up (I think that started with Reagan-Mondale).. so I'd expect around 11 PM- 12 AM EST if all goes smoothly I didn't know that. I thought we got to see each state release it's results in real time on the TV coverage. Don't some pundits try to call it, hours before the official result? How is that possible if poll results are secret until 12am EST (after Alaska's polls close)? They project an individual state winner after that state's poll is closed (upon sufficient data). Once it adds up to 270 electoral votes, the ultimate winner is projected |
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Post by Hoosier X on Nov 8, 2016 14:50:31 GMT -5
I'm going to say he won't break 200.
So let's say 198.
It would be nice to find out that telling transparent, childish lies about Muslims isn't a viable campaign strategy.
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Post by Hoosier X on Nov 8, 2016 16:06:52 GMT -5
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Post by Hoosier X on Nov 8, 2016 16:09:51 GMT -5
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Post by MatthewP on Nov 8, 2016 16:43:50 GMT -5
Just got back from voting, so I totally have the pulse of this election. Therefore I'm guessing Trump will get 231 electoral votes.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 8, 2016 16:46:40 GMT -5
I've only got one voucher sooooooooooo...if anyone dupes someone else's response I'll have to go with the earlier one if it wins.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 8, 2016 17:07:59 GMT -5
Come on dude, it's not supposed to be a thread for your chirpy anti-Trump tra la la. Pick a number. *EDIT*...6PM point has arrived* |
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Post by wildfire2099 on Nov 8, 2016 20:00:57 GMT -5
They don't release any results until all the polls are closed, so that people don't see their candidate doing poorly and not show up (I think that started with Reagan-Mondale).. so I'd expect around 11 PM- 12 AM EST if all goes smoothly I didn't know that. I thought we got to see each state release it's results in real time on the TV coverage. Don't some pundits try to call it, hours before the official result? How is that possible if poll results are secret until 12am EST (after Alaska's polls close)? They seem to have changed it a bit.. they were showing stuff for states that had poll still open, so I guess that's not the case anymore. |
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Post by Ish Kabbible on Nov 8, 2016 21:14:11 GMT -5
I didn't know that. I thought we got to see each state release it's results in real time on the TV coverage. Don't some pundits try to call it, hours before the official result? How is that possible if poll results are secret until 12am EST (after Alaska's polls close)? They seem to have changed it a bit.. they were showing stuff for states that had poll still open, so I guess that's not the case anymore. Depends on what news media you're looking at. The major networks don't call it till that state's poll closes. Or at least they haven't for decades |
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